Our paper on ex-ante projection for nature-based solutions has been published in the Journal of Carbon Management. I also wrote up some long-form thoughts on it here. The publication represents the culmination of work on how to properly account for credit reversal risk in nature-based climate solutions through optimal carbon release anticipation. E-Ping did excellent work leading the methodology development and analysis. The approach we developed incentivizes project performance while resolving the fundamental trade-off between a credit's permanence rating and risk reduction, providing a pragmatic solution to one of the key challenges facing the effectiveness of nature-based climate solutions.